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I hope it does, but i would bet on it. It is just crazy that it has a chance.

But all of this lies with MS decisions.
1- If they free bundle it to help XONE to move units, it could easily go up.
2- On the other hand, If may decide that they need to make more Halo as early as possible to increase their profits and compensate the smaller numbers of Halo5, than each one will sell much less.

To be honest, we get a huge number of fairly good shooters during the whole year, every year : Destiny XTs, CoD, Farcries. Plus (in 2016 for example) Overwatch, Titanfall 2, Doom, Rainbow Six Siege, The Division, GoW 4, Garden Warfare. And that's just what is coming to mind now. This may have affected Halo too.