riecsou said:
binary solo said:
Given VGC has the whole month for Xb one at just 295K I can't imagine they have the week of the 20th being all that big. You've basically got 155K of console sales to split across 3 weeks. If you gave 100K to the week of the 20th, that would make the previous 2 weeks just 27.5K a piece, averaged. I dunno, maybe Xb one slumped for 2 weeks before Halo 5. You could expect a dip for a week or two before a game as big as Halo 5 launches. But not that much. I also doubt the 20th week is higer than the actual Halo launch week. I'd be more inclined to give the 20th week 70-80K and the previous 2 weeks at least 40K.
That's assuming VGC isn't undertracking by a large amount. Add another 50K to the Xb one US monthly total and you can have 2 weeks over 100K for the Halo effect. And pretty much a tie for October between PS4 and Xb one.
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If I recall correctly Xbox One was doing horribly in the first two weeks on the amazon thread. Even though the Halo bundle was not doing too good for the first 2 weeks. From the amazon thread we have:
Week 1 (Oct. 5 - 11)
PS4 Destiny bundle: #22 PS4 LE Star Wars bundle: #23* PS4 TLoU bundle: #25 PS4 NDC bundle: #36 XBO Halo 5 bundle: #38 PS4 LE COD bundle: #57* New 3DS XL: #88 XBO Madden bundle: #91 XBO Gears bundle: #96
Week 2 (Oct. 12 - 18)
XBO Halo 5 bundle: #19 PS4 TLoU bundle: #26 PS4 NDC bundle: #30 PS4 LE Star Wars bundle: #40* PS4 COD bundle: #59* XBO Forza bundle: #89 New 3DS XL: #92
Week 3 Oct. 19 - 25)
PS4 NDC bundle: #13 XBO Halo 5 bundle: #22 PS4 LE Star Wars bundle: #28* PS4 COD bundle: #50* PS4 Basic Star Wars bundle: #65* XBO Gears bundle: #67 XBO Forza bundle: #100
Week 4 (Oct. 26 - Nov. 1)
PS4 NDC bundle: #11 PS4 COD bundle: #19* XBO Kinect bundle: #23 PS4 LE Star Wars bundle: #24* XBO Halo 5 bundle: #42 PS4 Basic Star Wars bundle: #49* XBO Gears bundle: #46 XBO Fallout 4 bundle: #66 XBO Madden bundle: #68 XBO Forza bundle: #86 New 3DS XL: #91
In week 1, the bundles that would have counted for the week are at 91 and 96. For week 2 the bundle that would have counted are at 89.
Even amazon "suggest" that week 1 and 2 were probably weak. But with the pre order for the Halo Bundle, to me it feels like week 3 might have been bigger than week 4 or closer than 100k vs 140k
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I'm inclined to think that VGC has lowballed Xb oe sales in the USA for October, as I seriously doubt early Oct numbers dropped below 30K per week, and that just does not leave enough consoles to fill what should have been a fairly big week for 18-24 Oct. Even if it was a lower week than actual launch week, it's still going to be a very big week.
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