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reverie said:
I wonder if Microsoft will fall below the forecasted 12 million units (sold-to-retail) by June. Probably.

 Unlikely. All they have to do is ship 1 million in 3 months (forecast is actually for end June).

 

While they only shipped 500k last quarter, that was after they overshipped to hit 10m. Things should be correcting now, and in any normal quarter MS easily ships 1.5m 360's. So even if they're still correcting somewhat, 1m in April-May-June should be in the bag.They

They sold 174k+155k in April/May NPD= 329k, june = 5 week, conservatively, 200k, so ~530k in USA in quarter. ~40k Japan (slight bump for trusty etc), 30k Canada, say conservativly 100k/month in Europe,=900k, they can either round up ~1 million or ship 33k/month to rest of world perhaps