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I don't think it will beat Trusty Bell in neither first week or lifetime sales.
Japanese simply don't play western games. Its just not their cup of tea. Look at the top sellers for 360 in Japan.
Maybe if the graphics were anime-style sales will see a boost.

Its a real shame that a grand title like Oblivion won't even be recognized by the majority there.



crappy old school NES games are more entertaining than next-gen games.