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GribbleGrunger said:
binary solo said:

You may be seeing it as simply as that, but I've always looked at Amazons predictive value in more depth. So the top selling sku has a high predictive value, but there are circumstances where it falters, and then you have to go into a bit more depth to see what Amazon is really telling you. This month I don;t think we can say what Amazon is telling us at least until we get the final monthly chart. You say Amazon has been wrong once, I say Amazon was right in that month. We're both right it just depends on what you chose to measure.

There is absolutely nothing wrong with speculation concerning positions, amounts or preorders, but we see Amazon as either wrong or right and that has always been based on who leads in the monthlies and who actually wins that month. We are now waiting to see who won this month and it will be based on what Amazon has at the top of the monthlies. I've even said myself that preorders could effect this month and so make Amazon wrong, but it's still accepting that Amazon could be wrong based on which console leads in the monthlies. It's been this way for 2 years now and I haven't got a clue why people want to change it. Keep it simple as far as Amazon predictions go. It doesn't mean we can't debate why Amazon was wrong, but to be fair to the spirit of Amazon threads, that's the view we'd have to take: that it was wrong. If we start arguing that it wasn't wrong based on 'a', 'b' and 'c' then the Amazon prediction is made redundant.

Sorry Gribble, but you seem to be the one that change the way to interpret amazon's rankings (anyway everyone is free to do so in its own way).

Go to april npd thread, you 'll see people saying that the result was expected thanks to amazon.

Amazon was wrong once or twice if I remember correctly, on november or december.