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Frogger on 22 October 2015
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potato_hamster said:

It's absolutely arbitrary. If someone wants to group every 5 consoles that come out as a generation it's just as arbitrary as saying "between this time period and this time period is one generation, unless its a handheld then it's between this other time period and that other one". It literally doesn't mean anything. You just decided on random quasi-convenient criteria to what signifies a generation and poof that's suddenly a good way to measure Nintendo's success? Nope. not buying it. Let's just look at each type of console and compare it to the others in its lineage. That makes a lot more sense to any reasonable person, except some Nintendo fans who insist it really means something they totally promise just believe them okay? No.

Alright, if the Wii was no fluke, all Nintendo has to do is repeat its success. Go ahead Nintendo blow us away with a NX home console that sells 100M+ units. It should be easy right? Tell me though... if you were to bet. would you bet the NX home sells more like the PS3 (80M+) or more like the Gamecube (20-30M)? I think we know where you're betting if you actually had a significant amount of money on the line.

Try to be honest about this one too: if you were to bet a year before the PS4 was announced would you bet it would sell more like the PS3 (80M+) or more like the gamecube (20-30M)? I think we also know where you're betting.

What do you think that tells you?


It's a bit absurd to think that popular opinion has anything to do with the potential success of a future platform. A few poorly informed people betting for or against the success of the NX isn't indicative of anything. I think the NX has a very strong chance of being massively successful, just like the Wii. What Nintendo has said regarding the NX and its plans for its future platform and brand expansion are calculated, measured, and forward thinking.

The Wii was absolutely not a fluke, but how so is a debate that has been explored to death. The fluke comes from Nintendo's inability to take advantage of and maintain that success, but the actual breakout success was just as calculated as the NX will be. They new what they were doing. The problem with the Wii was that it was short sighted. The NX is being planned from inception to be a longterm success.

Saying "it should be easy" is moot. Making the Wii successful wasn't "easy." Making the PS4 a success wasn't "easy." It's not about ease. It's about compitence and execution. The Wii U and 3DS lacked the compitence and execution at launch that Nintendo will have going into the NX. You can see tangible examples of that compitence and execution right now with Amiibo, the Universal partnership, the N-Box, the merging of their handheld and console divisions, the restucturing of their company, and the DeNA investment. This is a very different Nintendo than the one who launched the Wii U, and that's for the better.