| spurgeonryan said: A noob team would not know to go after you, but they have also been very lucky to do what they have more or less unseen. Besides what you know^ Anyone know how many more scum has to kill to win? Can't be more than 1 or 2 misslynches left. Unless they used up all their kills. |
with 8 players,
if we have 2 mafia, and 1 sk, and we mislynch, and all antitown kill townies:
5 players, 3 antitown, and almost half of the players are mafia.
If we lynch correctly and mafia, and all townies die at night:
1 mafia, 1 sk, 3 townies.
If we lynch correctly and sk, and one townie dies at night:
2 mafia, 4 townies.
The change happens if antitown kill antitown.
Antitown could kill each other, leaving 1 antitown
Or we could have 1 anti kill another, leaving 2 antitown and 3 townies
Basically, in the worst case scenario and we mislynch, and mafia kills sk, and sk kills town:
Then 3 townies 2 mafia.
So we have one mislynch before it's crunch time.
The best scenario, leaving the most townies alive, is we lynch a mafia, and hope mafia and sk kill each other.
However, sk usually cannot be killed at night. So then, best case scenario is sk kills the remaining mafia, we lynch a mafia, leaving 4 town and 1 sk.
At which point, there is one mislynch available.
In any case, we only have one mislynch free and then we need to lynch correctly every time.
This is a little compounded by whether or not the sk is a team of 2 or just 1.
