Dark_Feanor said:
SWORDF1SH said:
This is how I have USA sales so for October purely trying to deduce something from the Amazon ranking.
Halo bundle preorders coming into October 70k. (Based on sales position for August in relation to games and other consoles then reduced the figure slightly to factor in preorders are normally higher on online stores.)
Week 1 - 90k - PS4 25k - X1
Totals - 100k - PS4 95k - X1
I'm assuming that the baseline will be 400k PS4 sales for the month with the price cut. Each week ramping up in sales as we close in on the holidays - wk1 90k - wk2 90k - wk3 100k - wk4 120k.
Here how I translate the week 1 amazon rankings into USA sales.
PS4 Destiny bundle: #22 - 35k
PS4 TLoU bundle: #25 - 30k
PS4 NDC bundle: #36 - 20k
XBO Halo 5 bundle: #38 - 15k (if this wasn't preorders for a LE console I would of had it at 20k also. Preorders tend to be higher on online stores)
XBO Madden bundle: #91 & XBO Gears bundle: #96 - 5k
Other PS4 bundles - 5k
Other X1 bundles - 5k
So I have it that the PS4 has wiped the X1 preorders sale 1st week. X1 and PS4 sales will be closer in the 2nd week and 3rd week with PS4 still winning. Halo week will see a big spike in X1 sales.
Seem reasonable? Or a complete load of shit?
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As you asked...
This reasoning is a big pile of shit.
You and others are reading to much into Amazon charts without think in the marketing as a whole.
Your numbers are no better than guesses.
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Of course it's my guess. It's my guess based off the Amazon rankings. What did I "without think" about? Is there any more data that could help my guessimate?
And I know that doing this solely based of Amazon rankings is hard to come up with any solid figures. I'm not reading to much into it, you're just taking my guess too serious.
