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stof said: I think Louie really nails it right there, provided you realize that the N64 still sold 32 million consoles, which is pretty damn impressive. It'll be the same for the PS3. I don't think anyone is saying that it will fail as a console (sub 20 Mill). They're just saying it won't come close to the dizzying heights of previous Playstation consoles.
My lowest-end estimates for any of the three consoles would be about 35 million, and realistically I expect 40 million from each. In other words, I think the N64 is going to be passed up twice, in terms of being the best-selling "losing" console ever. This is assuming at least a 6 year cycle for all three systems. I say this since I'm pretty negative on the PS3. Basically agreeing with you two, Louie and stof...



"[Our former customers] are unable to find software which they WANT to play."
"The way to solve this problem lies in how to communicate what kind of games [they CAN play]."

Satoru Iwata, Nintendo President. Only slightly paraphrased.