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What is your expectation for Halo 5?


US first day= ?


UK first day= ?


Worldwide first day?

 


US first week= ?


UK first week= ?


Worldwide first week= ?

 


Since VGChartz is dead these are the only data we may get from Microsoft or Chart-Track if we're lucky!


My expectation is 1.5 million first day Worldwide and 2.3 million for the first week. 1.8 million of those will be on the US and 300k will be on the UK.

 


Why is it going to be significantly lower than Halo 3 and other previous main Halo games?


- Xbox brand in general is weaker this gen. Although Xbox One is outselling Xbox 360 for the same period I think (no actual data) that Xbox is a lot weaker than it used to be during Xbox 360 days.


- Halo 3 was the peak for Halo games. Halo didn't have any real competitor when Halo 3 was released. No COD phenomena yet. No big new FPS every week! The increase in Xbox 360 install base helped hiding the drop on Halo popularity. Don't get me wrong. Halo is still big and one of the biggest franchises out there. Halo Reach and Halo 4 should be more than 10 million by now. Nobody can say Halo isn't big but relatively to other games it is not as big anymore.


- Video games in general were a lot stronger last generation. I don't think we'll see big first day/weeks as much as we saw during the last gen.

 

Please share your expectation and the reason behind it. Thank you.