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Xbox will beat ps4 no doubt. And it'll easily be a 400k+ month for them whereas ps4 will be somewhere in the 300ks.

PS4 around 310-340k
Xbox around 410-430k



And the Europe assassin's creed syndicate bundle is NOT in America, so that will not affect NPD for Sony.

So I really see no reason to believe Microsoft won't win. November though should be all Sony.