Michael Pachter says Wii U to sell 20 million units worldwide

[fleischr]

Mummelmann said:

gatito said:
Now that he's aware of how wrong he usually is he's trying to doom Wii U even more. Such a dick move.

You think the Wii U will sell more than 20 million lifetime? If so, what will drive these sales? It will have to essentially double its installed base before exiting the market, and interest isn't exactly expected to increase in the coming years and it likely peaked last year. Market leaders may go on to sell decently once new hardware has released but distant 3rd tends to flicker and disappear fairly quickly.

There really aren't a lot of arguments left for 20 million or more right now.

Say the WiiU gets a really aggressive pricecut - goes under $200 - 250 with bundled games

Then let's say new NX home console  gets pushed out to late 2017, maybe even into 2018.

To get to 20 million, the WiiU needs a pricecut and it needs to exist at retail into 2017/2018. Neither one of those things are really out the question.

So lets say WiiU has a really good holiday and hits 13 million by 2016. 2016 having a pricecut in effect with a bunch of solid games at retail makes it sell another 4 million that year. Then between 2017 and 2018 when the NX console arrives, another 3 million are sold. 20 million.