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Wyrdness on 16 September 2015
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AlfredoTurkey said:


It says by the end of 1994, the Genesis had an install base of 7.6 million to the SNES 4.8. That is nearly a 3 million unit lead with only one year before the launch of the Saturn and two years before the N64. There is no way the SNES could have made up that gap in such a short period of time.

But if you need hard evidence, scroll down to the chart at the bottom. It shows that in 1994, the Genesis sold 58% to the SNES 36%. In 1995, it was 43% to 38% for Genesis. 1996, 19% to 16% Genesis. In 1997, the SNES had it's lone victory selling a mere 1% more than Genesis before being outsold again head to had each year after. If you crunch those numbers, there's no statistical way the SNES could have made a 3 million unit move on the Genesis. In reality, that 3 million just widened.

 


This is from your own source.

The installed base at the beginning of 1994 is obtained from Bayus and Shankar (2003, Table 1), which reports the installed base of NES (25.7), SNES (4.8), and Genesis (7.6) in 1994. The number in a parenthesis is in million units. Although the numbers are somewhat inconsistent with those reported in Brandenburger (1995b) for SNES (8.5) and Genesis (10.6), we use the data from the former.

Here is an official showing from Nintendo themselves.

http://www.webcitation.org/5nXieXX2B

Under what you're saying the's no way the SNES could have over 40m sales, this calls into questions the numbers being used in your link to begin with as Nintendo's document shows 23m SNES' sold in the US.