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I figured it would be down from Wii by a substantial amount, but not nearly as terrible as it did.

I assumed a lot of the casual audience would leave like they did, but I thought the Wii would at least have created a new batch of Nintendo fans or had won back old fans that left considering it's large install-base. I didn't expect Nintendo to drop the ball hard on WiiU's marketing, the third-party mass-exodus after first pledging support, or the lack of truly great, 'classic' first party games that oozed the ambition their big games from previous generation had.

I expected SNES level sales, sometimes I would say 40m, while on good days I would say up to 64m. Later, I would say 25m, now, 18.