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Illusion said:
After the runaway success of the Wii and DS it's hard to imagine many people predicting back in 2012 that the Wii U would sell less than 50 million. If I had made a prediction back then I definitely would have pinned the Wii U closer to the Wii than to the Gamecube and I would have been dead-wrong.

There was a thread back then when one guy predicted 40m and most nintendo fans jumped at him like if he was a crazy person.  It turns out, he was right.