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TWRoO said:
While I think you may be right in that it will not happen this year Ail. part of your math is wrong.

I am going to have to bring out my table again
(actually I will just explain instead)

However the minimum number of consoles Nintendo will be able to produce in time for Christmas without air shipping will be 42 million. With air shipping it is 43 million.

That is a minimum because it is assuming a sudden increase in production from 1.8 million p/month in June to 2.4 million in July, however it is more likely that the months inbetween now and then will be inbetween the two figures as they slowly ramp up production.

This could account for an extra million in time, which with some strategic air shipping makes 44 million shipped consoles

Of course shipped != sold, but if demand is similar to last year it could be as close as 500k, meaning 43.5 million sold.
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However from the increase in PS3s sales and the not yet slowing down 360 their combined user base is likely to be 1-2 million higher than that. (20.5-21.0 million PS3s, and 24.0-24.5 million 360s)

See that's the only thing I was asking for :)

Someone trying to logically argue and not trying to pull numbers out of thin air with no facts/data/maths to back them up :)

None of the :

A : 'Wii is going to be over 50% marketshare by holydays'

B : 'Why ? How will they do it ?'

A : 'Because I said so !'

And if it's just simple maths, show us the maths, we aren't stupid !



PS3-Xbox360 gap : 1.5 millions and going up in PS3 favor !

PS3-Wii gap : 20 millions and going down !