Predict Pokemon GO download count (I am inevitably right)

[fleischr]

Neodegenerate said:

Samus Aran said:

Neodegenerate said:
Billion lifetime is completely unrealistic. I would say 50 million tops.

Lmao, Sonic Dash has over a 100 million downloads. You're saying the Sonic brand is twice as strong as Pokémon?

Based on this I will amend to 200 million, tops.

You also have to account for this: Sonic Dash is a pretty mediocre endless runner, it pushed a lot mainly on brand recognition alone.

Even if it's mediocre as a Pokemon game, it'll have the basic Pokemon combat and catch-em-all mechanics. Which can addict practically anyone.

Apple, Google, and other smartphone makers are praising God right now. This is a huge positive externality towards driving sales of new devices. They each do their part to push the game in some way. 1 billion or bust.