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Mummelmann said:
I don't think it will, perhaps it could shoot past momentarily but I don't think it would last too long tbh. This is a very different and odd generation of consoles and we cannot expect the market leader to dominate like the PS2 did and use historic data to extrapolate lifetime sales.
History, it seems, does not apply to this gen!

 Most of us hope history would not repeat last generation. PS2 with around 70% market share was far from a competitive environment, innovation was lacking last generation with weak competition in Microsoft and Nintendo.

 By end of this generation I expect Nintendo Wii to finish on  45% market share.  PS3 on 30% and XBox 360 on 25% market shares.