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Considering the controversy around the game and the fact that the series has been somewhat been MIA since 2008 (we had some side games and HD collections) its actually done quite well for itself. If word of mouth is good then it should hopefully go on to be the best selling MGS of all time.
I know they are different franchises and MGS is much more established but Witcher 3 went on to sell 6m in 6 weeks so with MGS seemingly having a similar if not bigger opening I can see it reaching similar numbers rather quickly. 6m sold this year for MGS would most definitely be a success for the franchise.