I just don't see it. I think unless there is something dramatically new/different about the console (like the Wii was for 2006), then the console NX is just going to be a niche product for a small group of Nintendo hardcore that just must play their Nintendo games on the TV.
People used to say the GameCube was going to do great because it fixed a lot of the major problems of the N64 -- no cartridges meant great third party support, very easy to program for unlike the N64, we got Resident Evil exclusivity, it's on Sony, bring it! etc. etc. etc.
Sony beat the living snot out of the GameCube on the strength of basically only a year head start (18 months in Japan). Now you're going to give them a 3 year head start? Good night and good luck.
Beyond that I think the other issue for Nintendo home consoles is fewer and fewer people need a Nintendo home console ... because the handhelds are closing the gap every successive generation in being able to offer pretty much all the main stay Nintendo franchises at a lower cost with the bonus of portability.
15 years ago, the Game Boy couldn't do a 3D Mario of any kind. It couldn't do a 3D Zelda. Mario Kart only appeared nine years after it had been on the SNES. But nowadays? Every generation, the handheld adds a new big Nintendo IP or two that it didn't have before (this gen most notably Smash Brothers has gone portable and the first original 3D Mario has been on a portable).
With the portable NX that will likely close even further. The portable NX and smartphone apps (which will make Nintendo a fortune) will become the new no.1/2 pillars for Nintendo as a business, that's what I see happening.
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