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I think they have a good chance of retaining the no.1 position in Japan with the NX portable. Especially if it is going to have good Square-Enix support like Dragon Quest XI. But I would expect overwhelmingly for the portable SKU to be the one people buy there, not the console one.

But the US and Euro markets? Yeah ... that is an uphill climb as of right now and they can't have any screw ups. Has to be mistake free and I don't think they have it in them to not make major mistakes.