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thismeintiel said:
Probably not. A lot of Avatar's success came from 3D hype. It's barely even talked about by people in normal movie conversation, and is definitely never referred to as a classic. And it was already re-released in 2010, but only made $33M WW, much less than the Titanic re-release. This makes me question Cameron's decision to make sequels of it for pretty much the rest of his career.

I think the 2nd one will probably make less than 1/2 as much as the 1st, unless they tap into some other hype. So, about $1B+. That's still good. Of course, Cameron is probably going to demand an even larger budget, so the return will definitely shrink. I think we'll get a 3 if 2 does make a billion. However, I doubt we'll get another one if the 3rd drops even further (I'm thinking around $600M WW.) Which means I doubt we'll see the promised 4.

All three of the sequels are being made at the same time, similar to how Lord of the Rings was filmed. We will see all three movies released.

And I wouldn't underestimate Cameron if I were you. I find it unreasonable to expect that any of the sequels could match the success of the original, but Cameron is a damn fine director and he is able to create very popular and entertaining movies. Unless Avatar 2 is terrible (it won't be because, again, Cameron) all three will comfortably pass $1B worldwide.