What can I say by now,is that its release date,is extremely beneficial(as it was for captain toad treasure tracker)!In the first week of December,the month,when sales are skyrocketing into (excluding Black Friday week,it's only in theUSA),having other three weeks of December in front of it,which one of them is the highest selling week of all the year....Holy sh@t!
And sell 1m lifetime(which is my conservative expectation about the game,1.5-2m is the optimistic one) is great providing that the wii version in a far bigger installbase didn't manage it(well it is still possible to happen)!
Although,Size of installbase isn't everything,how many people of the specific installbase will buy the game is very important,for instance if the sales of a console are at 20m where a game sells 3m,and in 10m 1.5m,but the 50% of the 10m owners of the console can buy the game,i.e 5m, and the sales of the game being on a higher selling console but with a lower attach rate!
That's attach rate,not something which is just related to the heights of the sales of a console,to explain it further,if something sells 5m on 10m installbase,it's 50% attach rate,some people will say,that's expected with low installbase,but it can have the same attach rate on a higher installbase by selling accordingly...
Who knows that the 5m on 10m installbase,wouldnt'be 10m on 20m installbase?Okay,it sells double in the double installbase,so it sells more,however,this is not a result of having higher installbase as it seems to be(it could sell lower and even lower than the version of the 10m installbase with poor attach rate) but having the 50% of the owners of the console willing to buy the game...
Will Nintendo market the game?hmmm,it has to...Anyway,it won't flop for sure!Also the bundle with game is a limited version/temporal thing?
