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1) I think this gen will be long.
2) I think the jump from 28nm->14nm is a big one, once it gets a die shrink, its price will drop like a rock.
3) a 150-199$ PS4, is going to still sell good after the launch of a PS5. Much like how the PS2 sold for along time for cheap.

PS4 is going over 100m, I have no doubts about it.

Feel free to quote me on it, 5-6 years from now, if that is not the case.