Ryng_Tolu said:
Zhuge also predicted 2.9 million and PS4 shipped 2.4 million in the first quarter of 2015... in short: Zhuge is not the god, but is probabily one of the most expert, FOR SURE the most expert of this site... That said, here my prediction: 2013: 4.5 million 2014: 15.4 million 2015: 16.5 million 2016: 17.5 million (considering the PS4 will get its first pricecut late 2015/early 2016, only 1 million up is too low.) 2017: 14.5 million (I think 2016 will be the peak year, but 3 million drop is too much (and that 17.5m for 2016 is too low to begin with) 2018: 12 million (too big drop again) 2019: 7.5million (Even if PS5 launches that year, 7.5 million is still too low) 2020: 4 million After that around 2/2.5 million. FYI, you don't agree with Zhugex, because your prediction adds up to a total of 93.9 million.
Yes, you probabily not gonna agree about the dropped since 2017, but i have my reason... i want write much, but i can't because my mother want my PC NOW, so, in short: The generation is not the 7th, the thing are change, and the firsts year are more important than one time. Also, i expect a decline for CoD, BF, AC, and many other games, that's will be a important factor for the PS4 decrease. very short spiegation i know, but i already said why. BYE! :D |
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