Microsoft's prognostications in relations to numbers are incredibly accurate. Claims to the contrary are utter nonsense. Microsoft has more often been proven right then they have been proven wrong. They seem to have an exceptional information gathering network. Which is no surprise given their core industry. They probably have more expansive resources then this very site.
Calling fowl on Microsoft for bias ignores the fact that they have a proven track record. While Sony has been more shall we say creative. I am still waiting for a certain someone at Sony to send me that thousand dollar check. They claimed to have actually sold out of their console early last year, and everyone knows that was a complete fabrication. I also remember a certain someone at Sony denying a price cut two days before it went into effect. The very same price cut Microsoft had told us about many months in advance.
Just looking at the track record you should go with the most precise forecaster you have available. That most assuredly is not Sony, and I hate to say this. However it should be said that this sites software tracking is still very hit or miss. So you have to be very cautious using the sales data for software until after the figures are balanced out with monthly sources.
I doubt Microsoft would make the claim unless they were reasonably certain about their data. They are just not prone to flights of fancy when it comes to numbers. You do not have to like Microsoft to respect their tracking fidelity.
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