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If Xbox Live had never debuted on the console, in other words if it were simply a stand alone game player with no form of connectivity, the original Xbox would not have sold anywhere close to what it did, and it certainly wouldn't have beaten the Gamecube.
That was the main selling feature of the console.
Halo Combat Evolved certainly helped to move units, but without Halo 2 showing what a console's online infrastructure was capable of in terms of connected gameplay and community, the Xbox would have been a distant third.
Xbox Live is what really sold the console and Halo's massive sales at that time were because of that feature.
Online is what moved the console, Halo is what legitimized it.