Jandre002 said:
MGS4 wont just be bought by Metal Gear fans. It will be bought by anyone who is impressed by its graphics and storyline. So this Metal Gear, with all its hype, will outsell all of the previous Metal Gears. You can't completely judge new releases by older ones. Like I said before, I expect that by the end of the year MORE copies of MGS4 will be sold than Gears 2. Next year Gears will pass MGS4, but end of the year totals will have MGS4 ahead of Gears 2. MGS4 is the third biggest game of the year, and the second or third best seller on the PS3 in history. Just think about this. For Gears 2 to really have an impact on hardware sales, it will need to outsell Halo 3. How many people do you think didn't buy Halo 3 or the original Gears, but will buy a console for Gears 2? The people awaiting Socom is probably larger than that list,if Gears 2 fails to perform in any way and Resistance 2 is better then those people might not even pick up the console. By the time Gears 2 is released the PS3 will be winning in Europe, will have had a big boost in Japan and be selling 20-30,000 more than the Xbox360 there alone, and by the looks of it now will be outsold in America as well. Sony still has a price cut left if Microsoft drops price in NA. Its entirely possible by that time the PS3 would have outsold the 360 by over 2.5 million since the beginning of the year. Someone is going to call BS on this, but I called the PS3 passing the 360 in all regions which no one believed, but look at whats happening now. |
I think you overestimate the number of people who will buy a game (in this case Metal Gear Solid) in a genre they have no interest in because it has pretty graphics. The Metal Gear Solid and Splinter Cell games have all topped out at (roughly) 5 Million units sold which is realistically the maximum you can expect from Metal Gear Solid 4; and you may want to consider the possibility that Metal Gear Solid 4 may fall far short of that number this year.
Beyond that game sales do not impact hardware in the way you think ... People buy a system because they're in the market for a videogame system and the library of that particular system interests them at that time; they don't necessarily buy a piece of hardware because a game in a series they have played before is being released. On top of that not everyone who bought into a highly hyped big selling game will buy the sequel; personally I owned Gears of War and will not be buying Gears of War 2, I owned Socom and will not be buying a PS3.
