Halo 5 Sales Predictions.

[bouzane]

super6646 said:

bouzane said:

My Gran Turismo example wasn't meant to be a perfect comparison. I was mearly pointing out the fact that the ONE's current userbase isn't going to be a hard limit for Halo 5's lifetime sales just as the 360 didn't limit Halo 3. That being said, considering Halo's front loaded nature I should have focused on another point.

When Halo 3 launched the 360 had only sold 12 million units whereas the ONE has already surpassed that total. After three months on the market Halo 3 was owned by 43% of 360 users and if Halo 5 accomplishes similar numbers it will easily beat a lot of the predictions in this thread. I'm not denying that the ONE is going to be significantly less popular than the 360 in the end and I'm certainly not saying that Halo 5 is going to be as successful as 3 (or reach a 43% attach ratio for that matter). It's just that the ONE will in no way hinder Halo 5's sales and only critical reception and potential franchise fatigue will influence the outcome.

I agree with almost everything, expect your sales numbers for the XB1. I could see it much higher, and I know that sounds unlikely, but so was the XB1 winning the April NPD.

I'm sorry but the ONE selling more than 85 million units is far, far less likely than it "winning" the occasional NPD. The 360 was on the market for eight years before the ONE released, was buoyed by the Kinect and went up against the worst Playstation console ever. None of these things are going to apply to the ONE and it will not come anywhere near the 360 in lifetime sales.