Halo 5 Sales Predictions.

[bouzane]

BMaker11 said:

bouzane said:

So the XBONE isn't going to sell a single additional unit moving forward restricting Halo 5? No offense but I swear that nobody bothers to learn anything about sales on this forum (which would be fine if not for the very nature of this site). By your logic it was impossible for Gran Turismo 3 to sell 15 million units on such a tiny userbase at launch. The thing is though, the PS2 kept selling after GT3 was released. It's funny how that works isn't it?

When the XBOne doesn't sell anywhere else in the world, and the only way it stay competitive even on its home turf if by heavy discounts and bundling games for free (i.e. a practice that is not sustainable), that puts a hard ceiling on XBOne's total sales. Yea, it'll continue to sale in the coming years, but not a lot. And people aren't gonna be buying Halo 5, new, this time next year. Your GT3 example is flawed because the PS2 actually blew up in sales. Same can't be said for XBOne

My Gran Turismo example wasn't meant to be a perfect comparison. I was mearly pointing out the fact that the ONE's current userbase isn't going to be a hard limit for Halo 5's lifetime sales just as the 360 didn't limit Halo 3. That being said, considering Halo's front loaded nature I should have focused on another point.

When Halo 3 launched the 360 had only sold 12 million units whereas the ONE has already surpassed that total. After three months on the market Halo 3 was owned by 43% of 360 users and if Halo 5 accomplishes similar numbers it will easily beat a lot of the predictions in this thread. I'm not denying that the ONE is going to be significantly less popular than the 360 in the end and I'm certainly not saying that Halo 5 is going to be as successful as 3 (or reach a 43% attach ratio for that matter). It's just that the ONE will in no way hinder Halo 5's sales and only critical reception and potential franchise fatigue will influence the outcome.