super6646 said:
30 million seems WAY to low for the XB1. The only way that could happen is if the XB1 stops being sold in 2016. And I estimate a predecessor will come around 2019, and its discontinued 2021-2022. I see 100 million much more likely than only 30 million (though both are unrealistic). |
You know that xbox one will be lucky to even hit 50m-60m right? Just look at the Europe chartz for last gen, compute the ratio between ps3 and 360 and then compare that to the ratio this gen. It will be almost impossible for it to even match xb360. this is Europe alone. If you take into consideration that ps4 is ahead in US whereas xbox 360 manage to outsell ps3 for around 15m, even if xbox one manage to catch ps4, the difference LT won't be as dramatic as last gen and again, more marketshare eaten. Just because xbox one is ahead of xbox 360, doesn't mean it will outsell xbox 360. xb360 had a lot of factors goin on for it at the second half of last gen that xb1 will be lucky to have like for example kinect which gave the 360 a huge push and a second breath.