| kamil said: I've just read Source news on main page and it supports my estimations: He estimates 1.7 mln for Others day one. With 2.5 mln in America So we have 4.2 milion first day. He also expects over 4 milion first week in NA. Add 1.7 milion from Others (only 1 day) and you have 5.7 milion: safely over you Naz' 4.5-5.0 mln estimate for first month. And this is without sales in the rest of the week in Others (so real number may be around 7 milion). |
Didn't the "only" ship 6 million copies at launch for the game? If so I don't see how they are able to sell 7M unless there is a pretty big second shipment already before the end of the week. Also The Sources numbers might have a pretty big margin of error because the amount of sources is probably lower than for the weekly data and for instance Brawl's numbers ended up around 900k while ioi first stated them at around 1.25M. Also the 1.7M for Others seems to be an estimation partly based on the 600k for the UK and not so much on actual data. All in all I see the 4.2M as a ballpark number and in reality it is somewhere in the range of 3.5-5M first day sales. 7M is possible when there are enough copies available and the real numbers end up at the high end of the first day sales, but if first day numbers end up being a bit optimistic it could end up close to 5M as well. Don't forget, Halo 3 "only" sold around 1M copies for the rest of the week compared to 2.5-3M copies first day.
