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I can see how you arrived at the 1.5 million prediction, but there definitely has to be some new things coming after MGS5 to keep up the positive YoY momentum. I think with the expected price cut this fall + whatever surprises are there will be the only way that can happen.

As for the Wii U, you don't think the baseline has been permanently moved? I know there's nothing of consequence outside of Mario Maker for the rest of the year, but that could be another surprise hit if Nintendo spends the kind of money they did with Splatoon.



"We'll toss the dice however they fall,
And snuggle the girls be they short or tall,
Then follow young Mat whenever he calls,
To dance with Jak o' the Shadows."

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