I like to get engaged in sales discussions about the future trending.
I like to make thread about that becuase I can eat crow late.
So this time is about the Japan sales of PS4 and Wii U.
1) A bit of history of previous years
Wii U
2013: 898.143
2014: 618.150
PS4
2014: 970.667
Not much to say here.
2) A bit of analyst of this year situation up to Week 25
Wii U (Up YoY)
2014: 508.552
2015: 603.578
Not much to say here.
Wii is trending to have a flat year even with the good bost it had these last weeks due Splaton.
But I'm a bit optimistics about the console so I think it will do less than 750k but better than last year 618k.
PS4 (Up YoY)
2014: 838.525
2015: 1.126.714
This is a bit hard because PS4 is down only because Feb was the launch time of the console where the most sales at this period come from 2014... all the weeks after the launch PS4 is up YoY over 50%.
Week 10 to Week 26:
2014: 210.486
2015: 328.369 (over 50% up)
That means that it will be up in four-six weeks and trend up for the rest of the year.
There is no doubt here PS4 will do over 1.5m this year in Japan at this rate... it will even do over that depending of the boost of big games like MGSV for example.
I will be conservative here... so > 1.5m is my prediction.
3) Finall lifetime sales at the end of 2015
Looking at my prediction you already can see what will happen...
Wii U: < 2.9 million
PS4: > 2.5 million
4) Future 3 million mark and when PS4 will pass Wii U
Both console will be reaching 3 million near March 2016 (one a bit before and other a bit after but the difference won't be bigger than 5 weeks if this trending continue to happen).
That said PS4 will mostly overcome Wii U in Japan in May 2016 if the trending continue the same.
If PS4 start to get a better boost due big games (MGSV again) then the things can happen early in 2016.
Well that it.
Now give me your trending/prediction/analyst of the console market in Japan.
PS. I left Xbone out due obvious reason.
BTW this is a thread like the old days in VGC to you see how the super amazing users did the things here before for good and real discussions... so be glad because I won't do that anymore for a serie of reasons (maybe one per year... maybe).
