| padib said: Burek, in order to make a valid prediction you really need to know what the NX is. You're not buying two pieces of hardware. You're buying the piece of hardware you prefer (be it handheld, low-capable home console, high-capable home console, other options that only the future knows) at the price that best fits you. In other words, it's more reasonable to expect prices to be lower for NX than it was for the U. Or, that those who opt for a more expensive device were willing to pay the price. I understand that you think that the new generation will gravitate to smartphones, but wasn't that generational influence already existent in the jump from DS to 3DS? Will the next generation be more affected by this trend? I don't see why they would be more susceptible than the previous wave, the logic doesn't convince me. |
See, that's the problem I see here. I understand the way that NX should work. Basically, it would have been the same as if WiiU and 3DS had a capability to play the same games.
So now, with what you say is NX, when it has that capability, you expect that those 3DS and WiiU sales will just add up. But in actuality, the numbers will get divided, as 50 million is the most users that nintendo has this generation. And those numbers will keep declining.
Then, my quandary is this? If NX is as you say it is, why would it be counted as one machine. Won't it just be two separate machines, sold separately, just sharing the library? It just doesn't add up to me at all.
But, regardless of the technology and the specifications, I still believe that the entire NX project will live and die on the software level, and with AAA 3rd party completely uninterested in Nintendo, it will have no future. As is evident by the 25 year long decline of Nintendo's home consoles (interrupted by a short-lived mega-fad), less and less people are willing to limit themselves to just one entertainer, people's tastes have changed, and they demand a variety of choices that Nintendo consoles simply cannot offer to them.
