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Burek on 17 June 2015
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padib said:
Burek said:

Hate to repeat myself - There are other tastes and other markets, but they are not large enough to support a console. They are enough to support a great software developer, and that's what Nintendo should focus on.

Unless they can bring "violence" to NX, they don't need to bother. See, there is a reason why the majority of high-selling games on PS/XB are violent.

So of the predictable 70-80m that will have bought Nintendo consoles this gen, you expect less to buy next gen despite the unified platform?

70-80 million? Where do you get that number from? Like there is no overlap in users, and no users that double/triple dipped on 3DS?

Yes, I expect less. I expect handheld part to continue shrinking (as I stated already). I think that outside Nintendo core, majority of handheld buyers are children, that will be older by 2016-17 and will move onto more mature games (what you call "violent" games). There will be little influx of new blood, as they will be primarily getting started on mobile in increasing numbers.

But, there is a huge discrepancy in handheld and home console sales because most of the former just don't feel like spending a lot of money on systems. To think that people will be willing to spend money on a unified platform (I don't know what it would cost, more than $300 for sure) when all they want is a quick on-the-go game is unrealistic to me.

If anything, forcing people to buy a unified platform will just decrease the market. Imagine the PS4 sales if you had to buy it bundled with Vita for $500-550. And of course, to think that just because a game can be played on both NX devices will suddenly cause a huge increase in sales, I doubt it.

 

Sure, there is a market for it, but that market is shrinking so rapidly. For Nintendo to think that they can, in 2016/17, launch a new console relying only on its own software, and be successful at it, they are in for a rude awakening. I think NX will be a complete disaster.