So, what if the Wii wins Worldwide next week in HW sales?

[bigjon]

mrstickball said:
I think the big question is: after the launch of GTAIV, will consumer interest in the PS3/X360 change in the West?

Right now the only real bastion of competion is in the US and Europe, and the Wii is winning handily.

However, GTAIV is one of the definitive games of this generation, supposedly, and as we saw with H3, it brought in a king's ransom of new X360 owners, and made the X360 rather viable during Christmas (certainly not perfect, but it still was Microsoft's best Christmas ever).

I think what will be telling is if, in May, the 360 and PS3, combined can equal *about* 120-130% of the Wii's sales in May. Ultimately, 1 week can't tell a whole war, but 1 month can tell us a bit. If the X360 and PS3 can average around 200k/wk for May (each), and the Wii stays around 350k/wk, this might be somewhat advantageous for the HD consoles. But we'll have to see.

You mean what GTA was to last gen? The problem is, that it is multiconsole. It will make both do better, but it won't "pick" the Winner like GTA did last gen.

Also, it is yet to be seen if GTA when big as big a deal as it was last gen... back then no one had ever done the whole sandbox run your own town type game.. now it is old hat. GTA4 sounds incredible( and I might get it, someday) but it has like no affect on the "Wii" audience.

It is target toward 14-22 year old males. The only audience the Wii does not have anyways.

GTA4 will come hype hype hype, then blow over(like Halo 3), and we Will have to suffer through another round leo-j Wii doomsday predictions when MGS4, GT5, and FFXIII come.. get used to it. Sony fanboys have been calling every major good game a Wii killer for over a year now... and look how things have turned out.