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Well, I'm no junior analyst but I'll say if GTA4's impact fails to do what Halo 3 did for the 360 in the month it was released, then the ones who'll be very disappointed are Rockstar, Sony and Microsoft, as well as all the professional analysts and "junior analysts" who claim this game can rival the highest grossing movie debuts (and thus I assume they take as a fact the impact of GTA4 will be bigger, individually for both consoles, than say -again- Halo3's impact , even if the latter is exclusive).

My take on this, and it's only a somewhat educated guess: neither system will outsell the Wii individually next month (WW or NA), but GTA4's impact on hardware sales will last a little longer than Halo3's.