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JEMC said:

Ok, I have a lot of things to say, so let's break it into sections.

superchunk said:

My point was that it will release in holiday 2016. 

Launhing the same year they reveal the device would be a first for Nintendo.

Not that I disagree, just pointing it out that it is not their usual way of doing things (even if I think they are wrong).

Superchunk, please. Nintendo's obligations with DeNA are to develop and launch games for their mobile platform including known Nintendo characters, while DeNA helps them develop a unified account that works on a range of devices. And Nintendo has already announced that they will launch 5 mobile games by 2017, so they are going along with their deal.

superchunk said:

NX is going to be revealed early 2016 with a final blow-out at E3 and launch in holiday 2016. All the evidence is there.

There's zero evidence of that, only "hopes" from a few and wishful thinking from others.

I totally agree with all you wrote, chances are much bigger that NX is 2017. thing.