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DMeisterJ said:
trestres said:
@DMeisterJ: I dont ignore those facts, but the reality is that PS2 had an enormous userbase by then at least 3xPS360. Consider the game is not only for hardcores, so there might be a lot of people who wont buy GTA4 this time cause they dont own an HD console.

Still the game will sell very well, but I dont think HW numbers can match those of the Wii since Japan at least will give Wii an advantage of 70-80k over both consoles. America is releasing stock + MKWii and others are riding the wave of MKWii + Wii Fit, which by the way is sold out everywhere.


More like a 35-45k average.

Golden week is here right now.

And will be reflected in Tuesday's data.  

After that, back to normal.

Which is Wii at 45-50k 

And PS3 at 8-10k

so, only a 35-45k advantage.

It's all up to Nintendo and supply really, if there is stock, it will sell, if there isn't it wont, but based off of the percentages gained in Others and Japan when it launched, I don't expect much.

 

Just look at last years sale in Japan at this time. It was a 2 week event, with the second week being larger. If this year follows last years pattern expect this week to be 30% higher than last week, then next week to be another 15-20% higher than that.

 



End of 2009 Predictions (Set, January 1st 2009)

Wii- 72 million   3rd Year Peak, better slate of releases

360- 37 million   Should trend down slightly after 3rd year peak

PS3- 29 million  Sales should pick up next year, 3rd year peak and price cut