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torok said:
It's overtracked, but I disagree that's "massive". It sold 52M on VGC. 2M is less than 5% of error. Not bad, actually.

It's misleading to base the error on the overall number when you get an update every three months.  If I predict zero 3DS units shipped next quarter, and it actually ships 1m, is that a good prediction?  I would only be off by a couple percent on the lifetime number.

Now if ioi had been on a deserted island with no access to the outside world for the last five years, and had 52m scratched onto a coconut.  That would be impressive.