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Ryng on 06 May 2015
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celador said:
Ryng_Tolu said:

No, it sold 7,500,000 last year (overtracked), second year is NOT always up, look N64 or PSVita, for example...

10,000,000 this year? HOW? It is currently down YOY, EVEN if is at 350$ VS 500$, what will happen when will be 400$ VS 350$ during the summer?

You predict a +35% increase this year ( 25% if we have 8m figures), how can XBO increase so much?

XB360 in the second year (2007) is increase by only 10%, the first XBOX by only 5%... and XBO by 25%? No. even 9,000,000 is too huge, 10,000,000 just no.

I can see XBO at 8,000,000 this year, barely above 2014, and it will be at 18,500,000 by end of 2015.

After that, i expect a 7,000,000 for 2016, for a total of 25,500,000, 4,500,000 in 2017, and we have 30,000,000 sold... XB720 released in 2018 is my bet. So, other 2,000,000 in 2018, and other 1/2 million after that.

I have my prediction at 35,000,000, i write 30,000,000 for round the numbers.

@ bolded - where are you getting that from? VGC has it up 284k over last year. Halo 5 and another holiday of aggressive bundling should see it up significantly on last year.

And you use VGChartz numbers?

NPD: 660,000 in 2015, 710,000 in 2014...

VGChartz have XBO confirmed overtracked in the US, according to VGC, XBO is at 227,000 in 4 week, when NPD say 233,000... Maybe XBO have sold 6,000 last week?

If not, ovvertracked... if is... well, after this massive dropped, i doubt can reach even 3,000,000 this year. :P

Any way, not only XBO is overtracked in 2015, but is also undertracked in 2014... +100,000 undertracked only in the US according to NPD...

http://www.vgchartz.com/tools/hw_yoy.php?reg=USA&start_year=2012&end_year=2015&console=XOne

Also, not only NPD, but even the MS shipment are lower than last year for XBO, around 1,200,000 last year VS 1,100,000 this year.

 

So, doesn't matter what VGChartz say, all source (NPD, MS shipment, ecc) say that XBO is down... and that is.

XBO will be lucky if will sell like last year, my 8,000,000 is also too much octimist.