krik said:
I still think I'm correct, PS3 and 360 should be about 2x the retail stock of the Wii. Anyway, one thing is for sure, PS3 and 360 should be about the same and I kind of agreed with last quarter differences more than this quarter. By the end of 2007 the differences seem more reasonable with the Wii at 800k and both PS3 and 360 at 1.5m. ioi, please bless us with your wisdom |
You need to make an official MS analysis Perhaps when they are averaged out yes, but the shipment numbers are refering to one very small time frame, that being the last day of March.
You know from VGC that the Wii sells roughly 300-400k per week, which means Nintendo have to keep supplying that many each week, what if a big (or just normal will do) shipment of Wii's were counted a couple of days before March 31st, that is an extra 400k on top of whatever supply might have been left in the stores.
MS might have a seperate schedule, they might not have had a shipment go out shortly before April, perhaps holding some for the new quarter and GTA4. they might usually count units shipped on a Wednesday or something (2nd of April) which means that the 19 million figure is 100k+ low, double that if they only ship every 2 weeks (which is possible as MS has no supply problems)
So in that scenario, Nintendo has just "shipped" 400k Wiis which inflates the percieved number on shelves, while MS might not have "shipped" for 1.5 weeks, and were just about to do so in the new quarter.
We really cannot get anything exact from shipment data, because we don't know how each company does it, and when using Wii's massive weekly numbers that might cause discrepancy.
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Or even, what about the stores themselves, in the USA there are many places that have been holding Wii's for specific dates which they can advertise and get a line of customers for, they may have been holding onto Wiis which are technically shipped but not on store shelves at any normal time, rather very early in the morning on 1 particular day.
