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Origin the PS3 worst case scenario is pretty much that its decreasing price doesnt help it as media attention turns away from it and stays on the Wii along with 3rd party support going to both the Wii and the 360. If that happens the consumer will forget the Playstation brand - the only reason they remember it is because the media has been pushing it in their face for the last decade.

Personally I believe the PS3 will do significantly better than my worst case prediction, but its a worst case not an estimation of what its likely to do.