WOW... people are really harsh on their estimations for the PS3... I can't believe people think it will sell so poorly over it's entire life.
Sorry but I think the ABSOLUTE minimum for the PS3 would be 60 - 70 million over it's entire life... I don't think the general consumer is smart enough to realise that you can get a experience as good or better on other consoles. TOO many people WANT a PS3 but don't want to pay for it, but will when the price comes down... this is the only reason that it's not selling so well, as soon as it hits 400 and 300 it will be lapped up, I have no doubts, as this is when the PS2 software will have dried up and the PS3 software will be in full swing.
I also think that people are being far to generous on the Wii... all it takes is one small falter and the sales can just stop... i'm also not sure if continuing demand is being created or whether they are still riding on the launch demand which is causing the 'sold out' status for the console. I think worst case scenario the console could die quickly very soon after people figure 'damn i wasted my money' what else is the point of owning this? I think it might even only make it to 30 - 40 million
Then the Xbox 360... people are being pretty accurate with the 360 expectations, because there is no CLEAR winner that every consumer is going to jump on board with (think back to the 'get on board' ps2 ads, they were fantastic) the 360 has a good chance of extending it's sales, however I don't think it will ever reach over 40 million in the BEST case scenario and therefore as a worst case, if PS3 and Wii dominate the 360 leaving it in the dust in the coming years after the splash from Halo 3 settles and people realise there is nothing else worth buying the console for... i'd say worst case is 25 million though it's pretty unlikely.
I can't believe some of the predictions some people have put in this thread.. an ABSOLUTE WORST CASE SCENARIO Wii gets 200 million?? WTF that's absolute BEST case scenario and doesn't belong in this thread.
