Cognitive dissonance: Wii U won't reach 25 million, but PS3 will reach Wii lifetime.

[Materia-Blade]

sc94597 said:

Materia-Blade said:

sc94597 said:

It isn't enough for the PS3 to decline, the Wii U must incline. And unless a redesign rejuvenizes it, I can't see that happening. 

How about this way? Wii U sales aren't related to ps3. If a person thinks wii u will sell x amount of units, this person doesn't have to think anything about ps3 sales. ps3 has been declining and will keep doing so, while wii u is up yoy.

And Wii U will peak this year. Even being up YoY the Wii U has sold about as much to date as the PS3 in 2015 (if not a little less.) Considering how Wii U will also start declining in 2016, unless one believes it will decline at a slower rate than the PS3 (which has no historical precendence - Sony platforms have always had greater legs than Nintendo ones) then we can estimate that their lifetime sales from this point until the end will likely be close. 

We don't know when the wii will peak nor how much it will sell on it's peak year. fact remains that your original claim is wrong. wii u sales are independant of the declining ps3 sales. One can predict wii u will sell any number while thinking ps3 won't cross 90m.