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Aura7541 on 24 April 2015
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microspot said:

Ill give u the point of highest price it will ever be and weakest first party libary.
But weakest third Party libary and weakest bundles it no ture, or at lest very debateable. 
There were many great third Party games last year and also good value bundles with 2 free games, some ps+ or free extra controllers etc. (even better ones in europe, than us)

And im happy to repeat myself, but in Q1 this year, the ps4 is already down YoY in the US and Japan
I said Q2 can easily be up YoY, but Q2 is always the weakest console sales quarter. So this wont effect the overall numbers by much.

No we go to Q3. Q3 has MGS, while last year Q3 had Destiny.
If there will be no pricecut in Q3, the US sales will be down YoY. Japan schould be up, because of MGS. Europe is hard to guees, but probably flat, or down too. Just remeber, that Q3 was one of the strongest in Europe. 
U need an example? Ps4 LTD sales in Germany were at 540k (or 570k, i don't remeber exactly) end of July, while they reached 1 million on October 21st.

So its up to the holiday quarter to get the big numbers and huge YoY grow.
And yes, i highly doubt they will sell an additional 5 million Ps4 in Q4 2015. Even with an possible pricecut to 299

Dec. 28, 2013: 4.2 million
Mar. 2, 2014: 6 million

Difference: 1.8 million (64 days) = 28.125K/day

Jan. 4, 2015: 18.5 million
Mar. 1, 2015: 20.2 million

Difference: 1.7 million (56 days) = 30.157K/day

It we extrapolate 2015 to 64 days, the PS4 would have sold 1.943 million units or +7.94% YOY. This is interesting since while the PS4 was down YOY for the first two months in the US and Japan, it seems that (at least for the first two months) all the other markets were picking up the slack. March is a very interesting month because of the PS4's launch in China. Whatever boost the system received from that market could be enough to keep it up YOY or even.

I think the PS4 can be up YOY for Q2 2015 because Q2 2014 was pretty slow. The biggest release back then was Watch Dogs. However, we recently got Mortal Kombat X whom Sony has marketing rights. For point of reference, Mortal Kombat IX sold ~1 million in April 2011 NPD. In May, there will be Final Fantasy X|X-2 HD and The Witcher III followed by Batman: Arkham Knight in June. Batman, especially, will move PS4 sales because of both the limited and standard edition bundles. With this many releases compared to last year, I think the difference will be noticeable.

Q3 2015 appears to have a more postiive outlook, as well. Last summer, the PS4 hardly had any games. However, this time, it'll be getting God of War III Remastered, the Journey/Flower/fl0w collection, Until Dawn, Everybody's Gone to the Rapture, and Tearaway Unfolded. It'll also get some smaller 3rd party games like Godzilla, J-Stars Victory Vs+, and One Piece: Pirate Warriors 3.