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binary solo said:
Majority has gone for under 300K.

For those predicting over 500K, what 100% totally brand new IP has launched at over 500K on Wii U so far? Only 20 games from the entire Wii U library have done over 500K LTD so far, according to VGC. As far as I can tell the only 100% new IP that is over 500K LTD is ZombiU.

Chances are Splatoon may struggle to get 500K LTD.

I think the game may not have problems to surpass the 100K barrier in the United States, I mean, it is hyped and it's ok for children (a good portion of the Wii U's intalled base). That should do more than the <100K Bayonetta 2 managed to do. 

Also, if the game is going to suck in Japan, it shouldn't do under 50K, same for Europe, making for a total of 200K units, similar to what Tropical Freeze did. 



My bet with The_Liquid_Laser: I think the Switch won't surpass the PS2 as the best selling system of all time. If it does, I'll play a game of a list that The_Liquid_Laser will provide, I will have to play it for 50 hours or complete it, whatever comes first.