Screen Digest on PS3,Wii,360: We don't know what is going to happen yet

[shams]

Bodhesatva said:
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Yeah, I agree with you here, Source. It really depends on how big that Blue Ocean is. Has Nintendo tapped 5-10 million new users with the Wii? That would be impressive, certainly, and I'd say that's somewhere around the minimum. But what if it's 50 million? 75? Those aren't impossible figures, if women and adults begin to purchase the machine in large numbers in Japan/America/Europe. Until we have a firm grasp on just how well the system is selling to such people, we really won't know how significantly the market has expanded.

If the Wii ever reaches $99US (say $149AU), I could see my parents buying one (if not, I'll buy one for them!).

And IMO - if my parents ever end up with their own Wii (never played games, no interest in games, 0% interest in PS2/PSP/PS3/360, etc..) - I could see every 2nd household (if not more) owning one.

A lot depends on Nintendo's manufacturing & pricing strategy/schedule. They need to get this 2nd (and maybe a 3rd?) manufacturing partner running as soon as possible - drop the price by $100US - and start selling 2.5m-3m/month worldwide (if not more).

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What I find interesting, is that for the first time (that I know of?) the pricing schedule for a console will be determined solely by the manufacturing capacity of it - rather than by sales itself. (am I wrong saying this?? maybe??).

Of course it could get even more scary, if Nintendo can put 2m/month units on the market, and they KEEP selling out at the current rate. That's basically what has happened to the DS?

Just about everything at the moment depends on the manufacturing capacity that Nintendo can get running for the Wii.