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Ryng_Tolu said:
zorg1000 said:
Ryng_Tolu said:
And let me said the BEST scenario.

Apr: 180,000
May: 150,000
Jun: 200,000
Jul: 170,000
Aug: 150,000
Sep: 250,000
Oct: 250,000
Nov: 750,000
Dec: 1,500,000

TOT: 4,332,000.

Yes, 3DS can sell more than in 2011. probabily not, but can happen.


That's not even close to realistic, what would possibly cause it to sell 2.5 million in the last quarter alone?

"That's not even close to realistic" source?

Seriusly, this numbers are more realistic than 2,500,000.

2,500,000 last year and is up so far by +80%, so, if the trend will continued, it will sell 4,500,000 this year.

Of course no way for happen, and this numbers (4,332,000) are just what  can be the best scenario.

My 3DS prediction is 3,000,000 to 3,500,000 this year.

My source is common sense, yes it's currently up 80% due to the initial rush of the revision but that 80% will not continue into the Summer/Fall, that's not optimism, that's just plain nonsense.

April+May should still have some New 3DS momentum along with titles like Xenoblade 3D & PDZ+Mario causing it to remain up YOY, something like 160k & 110k, putting it about 1 million thru May.

From that point it gets a bit trickier to predict since we have no idea what is scheduled from June-Dec and the New 3DS momentum will have worn off so it largely depends on what games are released in the Summer/Fall/Holiday or if they decide to release the smaller sku or do a price cut.

If everything goes right, ur 3+ million prediction could come true but 4+ million isn't realistic.



When the herd loses its way, the shepard must kill the bull that leads them astray.